Electrical Engineer’s Discovery Will Change the Climate Debate
October 8, 2015
A mathematical discovery by Perth-based electrical engineer Dr. David Evans may change everything about the climate debate, on the eve of the UN climate change conference in Paris next month.
A former climate modeller for the Government’s Australian Greenhouse Office, with six degrees in applied mathematics, Dr Evans has unpacked the architecture of the basic climate model which underpins all climate science.
He has found that, while the underlying physics of the model is correct, it had been applied incorrectly.
He has fixed two errors and the new corrected model finds the climate’s sensitivity to carbon dioxide (CO2) is much lower than was thought.
It turns out the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has over-estimated future global warming by as much as 10 times, he says.
“Yes, CO2 has an effect, but it’s about a fifth or tenth of what the IPCC says it is. CO2 is not driving the climate; it caused less than 20% of the global warming in the last few decades”.
Dr Evans says his discovery “ought to change the world”.
“But the political obstacles are massive,” he said.
His discovery explains why none of the climate models used by the IPCC reflect the evidence of recorded temperatures. The models have failed to predict the pause in global warming which has been going on for 18 years and counting.
“The model architecture was wrong,” he says. “Carbon dioxide causes only minor warming. The climate is largely driven by factors outside our control.” H/T Lynette MORE
You've Got to See Pollywaffle!
You’d stare at yourself too if you were on the front cover of a new calendar, but you might not be this cute. Pollywaffle, an adopted Staffie Bull Terrier, won hearts when she turned up on the pages of pet adoption website PetRescue with a series of professional photos that made it almost impossible not to want to take her home. So impressive was her smile that Pollywaffle was given prime billing on a 2016 calendar of orphaned animals around Australia that is aiming to promote pet adoption. But even with that cheeky grin and a personality to match, Pollywaffle was going to need a special family to look after her. After being dumped twice at a shelter in Sydney, she was rescued by Calley Gibson-Stoll, a long-time rescuer who also happens to be a pet photographer. H/T Lynette MORE
Dr. Ben Carson Warns of Impending Anarchy, Financial Catastrophe
October 4, 2015
If you can ignore the oozing sarcasm, read the Huffington Post's article on Ben Carson calling him "smart" and "weird". Nice. That aside, when have you heard many people in either party warning of elections possibly not being held next year, impending anarchy and the imminent financial catastrophe? It's clear that HuffPo finds this scenario impossible. Scott Conroy does everything to make Carson look silly, when in truth, it shines another spotlight on media's unending one-sided swill. This article really should have been categorized as an opinion piece, not posing as an article penned by a senior political reporter. What HuffPo rebukes as fearmongering, those with any foresight whatsoever and who actually digest current events, call it prudent planning.
Here are a few points in Dr. Carson's warning:
DURHAM, N.H. -- With all due respect to Donald Trump -- who is, like, a really smart person, OK? -- there is little doubt about which of the two candidates currently leading in the polls would win the Republican presidential nomination if the matter were being settled by an IQ test.
Put it this way: Around the time Trump was hatching plans to build a $4 million artificial waterfall in front of his soon-to-be hemorrhaging Atlantic City casino, Carson was performing the first-ever successful separation of twins conjoined at the head.
During a swing through the New Hampshire Seacoast region on Wednesday, Carson -- who has never sought political office before -- demonstrated a wide range of knowledge on national and world issues, at one point elucidating the differences between the YPG and PKK Kurdish factions as effortlessly as if he were explaining the groundbreaking surgery techniques that he once helped develop.
And like many intellectually gifted people, Carson tends to stand out from the crowd for another reason: He's kind of an odd guy.
While Trump often appears to be playing a character, Carson -- who's currently second in national polls -- doesn't have to pretend.
First, Carson has a penchant for wading earnestly into the realm of paranoia that is more commonly found on your estranged great-uncle's Facebook page than on the presidential campaign trail.
To take just one example, last year Carson outlined his concern to Fox News' Chris Wallace that the 2016 election might not take place at all, because the impending anarchy in the U.S. would preclude it.
Carson also brings his heartfelt fearmongering to the campaign trail with a frequency that should be at least a little off-putting to anyone who's not currently hoarding seeds, ammunition and precious metals in the bunker under their living room.
He warns of the kind of imminent financial catastrophe that makes the bottom of the mattress an appealing alternative to savings accounts.
“The good name, faith and credit of the United States is the only thing our money is based off of,” he warned a crowd at the University of New Hampshire this week. “That's nothing. That could collapse overnight, and 1929 Wall Street could be a walk in the park compared to what could happen.”
… Carson is the only candidate in the race who, without batting an eye, can preach the need for "civil dialogue” mere minutes after drawing a “pretty clear” comparison between Nazi Germany and modern-day America.
Carson's contention, which he made during his speech in Exeter, was that politically apathetic Americans were similar to “those people [who] did not believe in what Hitler was doing” but “kept their mouths shut and kept their heads down.”
Mary Collins, a British immigrant who plans to vote in her first New Hampshire primary in February after passing her American citizenship test, drove an hour and a half from the town of North Sutton to see Carson on the stump in Durham. Collins said that just like the candidate, she grew up in poverty without a father in her home and went on to become the first member of her family to earn a college degree.
That a white woman from western England could identify so personally with a black American man says something about the resonance of Carson's personal story.
“I like the way that he has traditional values,” Collins told HuffPost. “I like the fact that he wants to take this country back to being the great country it used to be. I like the fact that he's a man of faith. I like the fact that he's very truthful and honest about his opinions, and he doesn't care about political correctness. He says what needs to be said." MORE
Feds Stockpile Burn Treatments in Case of Nuclear Attack
(CNSNews.com) - "The detonation of an improvised nuclear device would produce intense heat, resulting in many patients with severe burns," says a September 30 news release from the Department of Health and Human Services.
The announcement says HHS has contracted for the development of "four novel products to treat severe thermal burns."
The products will boost the number of treatment options in case of disaster, and they'll also be used in "routine" burn care situations.
The four treatments -- one commercially available right now and three in development -- "will be added to the Strategic National Stockpile (SNS) or managed by vendors to help protect people from burn injuries resulting from radiological and nuclear threats," HHS said.
The announcement notes that burns stemming from a nuclear attack may require surgial skin grafting that is "resource intensive and technically demanding." And with only 127 burn centers nationwide, a "mass casualty" incident could "easily overwhelm the nation’s burn care infrastructure."
“To protect health and save lives from the impacts of multiple types of disasters, we have to address critical challenges in burn care,” said Robin Robinson, Ph.D., director of HHS's Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority (BARDA). “These products are intended to offer greater options and help create a continuum of care in a mass casualty incident; together they have the potential to eliminate resource-intensive steps, shorten hospital stays and improve patient outcomes.”
The announcement comes at a time of heightened concern about national security in general and the threat of foreign terrorist fighters in particular. MORE