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Once Upon A Mighty Force

December 16, 2000


PAGE ONE
TROOPS
Our Shrinking Military
Trail Of Troops
Troops Numbers - Last 40 Years
Change in Troops For Each
Administration
Troops By Branch of Service -
Last 40 Years




PAGE TWO
BASES
Trimming The Fat
Original BRAC Rounds
BRAC = Savings
Brace For More BRAC
BRAC Cost vs. Savings
Military Base Locations
BUCKS
Military Budget Tidbits
Defense vs. Other Spending
US Military Spending vs. World
Soldiers' Pay
PAGE THREE
BUCKS (Cont.)
Loss of Equipment
High Cost of Doing War
Financial Cutbacks
DEPLOYMENTS
You Can Be Too Thin!
Where Are Our Troops Now?





PAGE FOUR
THE FUTURE
Modernization
Lighter - Faster = Better
Now That's A Gun!
Turn Around For The Future
George Bush on Defense
This Coming Year's Defense Budget
Request for Ballistic Missiles
PAGE FIVE
THE FUTURE (Cont.)
Request for Selected Weapons
Replenishing Defense Supplies
Another Wrinkle - Euro-Army
Russia's Red Foot In?
Troops For the Euro-Army


PAGE SIX
A Soldier's Christmas
Soldier's Pay








BASES

TRIMMING THE FAT

Base closings throughout the country is causing confusion. Some see it as the government, once again, downsizing our defenses. By close of 2001, there will have been four waves of BRAC - Base Realignment And Closures. With a lesser number of active duty personnel and the Cold War behind us, all of these bases aren't necessary and they're gobbling up dollars. Secretary of Defense Cohen stated, "The vast sum that we are spending on unneeded facilities is robbing our people of needed training, of weapons modernization, and quality of life."

BASES TO BE CLOSED OR REALIGNED UNDER EACH ORIGINAL BRAC ROUND2

Major Base Closures
Major Base Realignments
Minor Base Closures or Realignments
Date Action To Be Completed
BRAC I
86 closures and realignments
59
Sept. 30, 1995
BRAC II
34 closures and realignments
48
Sept. 30, 1997
BRAC III
31
12
122
Sept. 30, 1999
BRAC IV
33
26
62
Sept. 30, 2001
Source: DoD


These four BRAC actions represent a significant savings which can be applies to other areas of defense.

BRAC = SAVINGS
FISCAL YEAR '96 Figures (US$B)
Closure
Costs*
Total Projected 20
Year Savings
BRAC I
2.2
6.8
BRAC II
4.0
15.8
BRAC III
6.9
15.7
BRAC IV
3.9
17.8

* Excluding environmental costs and land sale revenues


BRACE FOR MORE BRAC

In looking at the expenditures vs. cost savings to close these bases, it's easier to understand why these BRACs have been ordered. Secretary of Defense William Cohen recommends yet another two waves of BRAC.

"As a result of those four BRAC rounds, we have saved some $3.5 billion to date; we will save over $25 billion by the year 2003; and the reason that we need two more rounds of BRAC is that we expect to save some cumulative $20 billion total, and then $3.5 billion roughly, or $3 billion a year thereafter.

"Now that's $20 billion that can be used not only to go for additional pay, additional weaponry, but also into the families. The military families who desperately need additional assistance. They go pretty much taken for granted."3

The Fiscal Year 2001 Federal Budget request calls for two additional rounds of BRAC in Fiscal Years 2003 and 2005.

BRAC COSTS VS. SAVINGS
FISCAL YEAR 97 Figures (US$M)
COSTS
SAVINGS
6-Year Costs
Environmental Costs
6-Year Savings
Annual Savings
BRAC I
1,931
820
2,352
700
BRAC II
3,593
1,942
6,306
1,600
BRAC III
6,320
1,705
7,530
1,900
BRAC IV
3,600
550
3,900
1,600

Revising Fiscal Year 96 figures, DOD projects BRAC IV savings over 20 years at $19 billion and annual recurring savings from all BRAC efforts at approximately $6 billion.

(Source: Secretary of Defense Annual Report to the President and Congress, March 1996.)


MILITARY BASE LOCATIONS

For exact location of military bases for the map on the right, click here.

In addition to the BRAC actions, Congress was asked to approve consolidation of laboratories, R & D and test facilities; reorganization of DoD's business practices; and elimination of reams of existing red tape. (Government in general would do well to undertake this last task!)

There is also a fine version of military base locations from the

Click for larger view
Federation of American Scientists that can be downloaded in PDF. You'll need this accompanying index of numbered base locations to go with the map.


BUCKS



MILITARY BUDGET TIDBITS

  • Except for a minuscule increase in 1992, the Pentagon's budget has dropped every year since 1985.4 In fact, since 1985, it has dropped 40%.5

  • Adjusted for inflation, defense spending has fallen every year of the Clinton Administration so far from $298.4 billion in 1992 to $236.6 billion in 1998 (in 1992 dollars).6

  • According to the CBO (Congressional Budget Office) report, it will cost an average of $340 billion annually -- roughly $50 billion above present levels -- to keep U.S. forces at their present size, modernize their equipment, and maintain current readiness levels.7

  • The Center for Strategic and International Studies figures the Pentagon needs an extra $100 billion per year to maintain enough force to fight two major regional conflicts simultaneously plus handle several smaller contingencies.8

  • Budget outlays for defense, even before taking inflation into account, fell by $24 billion, from about $300 billion in FY 1990 to about $276 billion in FY 1999. (Fiscal years end September 30th.) This $24 billion decrease in defense spending compares unfavorably with the spending in the three other broad categories of federal expenditures. From FY 1990 to FY 1999, non-defense discretionary outlays rose from about $200 billion to roughly $304 billion; interest on the debt rose from about $184 billion to nearly $227 billion; and entitlements soared from roughly $605 billion to about $959 billion. An aging population will provide additional incentives for entitlements in the coming years.


WHERE THE MONEY WENT 1990 vs. 1999



DEFENSE VS. OTHER FEDERAL SPENDING
9
SPENDING IN BILLIONS OF CURRENT $$
Area of Expenditure
Fiscal Year 1990
Fiscal Year 1999
Change in $$
% Change
Defense
$300
$276
-$24
-8%
Non-Defense Discretionary Spending
$200
$304
+$104
+52%
Interest on the Debt
$184
$227
+$43
+23%
Entitlements (freebies & social programs)
$605
$959
+$354
+59%


Two different sources say we need between $50 and $100 billion above the current budget to maintain U.S. forces at their present size, to modernize their equipment, and to maintain current readiness levels. This brings up the 1997 Quadrennial Defense Review - source of the Bush-touted-statement that we're not ready to fight two large military conflicts at once. The question is, is this much readiness necessary?

Chris Hellman, Senior Analyst for CDI (Center for Defense Information) puts a different spin on our military budget and spending:

"First, 1985 represents the "highwater" mark of the Reagan era military buildup, a buildup unprecedented in peacetime. Other than the Korean War, military spending in 1985 was higher than at any time since the end of World War II, exceeding even the peak years of the Vietnam War. Even though there have been 13 straight years of cuts in annual military spending, we are only just now getting down to the levels of the Carter Administration.

US Military Spending vs. The World for 2000 (Billions)10

"Allies" refers to the NATO countries,
South Korea and Japan.
"Rogues" means Cuba, Iran, Iraq, Libya,
North Korea, Sudan, Syria.

Second, during the Reagan and Bush Administrations the U.S. national debt skyrocketed from around $829 billion in1979 to over $4 trillion in 1992. Meanwhile, while total global military spending has decreased from $1.6 trillion in 1985 to $797 billion in 1996, the U.S. share of the global military budget has increased from 30% to 33%."11

NOTE: In view of the devastating terrorist attacks against U.S. embassies in Kenya and Tanzania in August, 1998, the budget includes $1.1 billion for embassy security upgrades - almost 50% more than the 2000 level. Good!


SOLDIERS' PAY

In 2000, dollars spent per soldier was $32,755.56. In 1999, it was $31,192.26.12 The new budget includes a pay raise of 3.7%, which is a half percentage point higher than the Employment Cost Index (Department of Labor's civilian wage growth comparison) and 1.3% higher than the Consumer Price Index. If we intend to recruit and keep good soldiers, their pay has to rise further, especially in light of attractive private sector salaries.

Housing currently only covers 81% of expenses for military living off base. About 19% ends up being "out-of-pocket" costs for military personnel. The President's initiative lowers these costs to 15% in 2001, and gradually eliminates all out-of-pocket costs by 2005.

Continue

© Text and Graphics, 2000 Stan and Holly Deyo, except where otherwise credited